June 11, 2008
-- by Dave Johnson
I think there is a growing chance that McCain will not be the Republican Presidential nominee. Their convention isn't until September and McCain just gets worse and worse. I really think they'll find a way to talk him out of running.
And no, I don't think it will be Larry Craig, even if their convention is in Minneapolis-Saint Paul.
Posted by Dave Johnson at June 11, 2008 8:22 AM
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You are seriously demented.
Posted by: Michael at June 11, 2008 10:00 AM
Is there any way for him not to be nominated? Other than his freeing up the votes committed to him, that is. I don't think that, once the media operations really begin in the fall, it matters how bad he looks.
Posted by: John at June 11, 2008 11:29 AM
Well I wrote "I really think they'll find a way to talk him out of running."
A lot of these Republicans face jail time if we have an honest Justice Dept. And a number of administration officials will be visiting the Hague for launching aggressive war and torture. So you can BET they want a better candidate.
I'd bet there is serious pressure on McCain to step aside since his "green screen" speech.
Well, that door is opening for Jeb to step through.
It seems to me that the McCain candidacy repeats a pattern that the Republican party follows.sometimes.
They nominate some old fart who's been around Washington forever and doesn't really believe in canonical conservative principles. So-called "real conservatives" usually don't like the guy very much. Then they run a lousy campaign and lose honorably.
The last time they did this was Dole in 96. Before that, Ford in 76.
> Well I wrote "I really think they'll find a way to talk him out of running."
Mega Culpa. I keep griping over others who can't read what's plainly stated. So of course, I missed that particular sentence. Ahhhhh! My apologies.
Posted by: John at June 13, 2008 2:01 PM
David, I think the reason that McCain won't be dumped is that he still has a connection to middle-of-the-road voters whereas the rest of the Republican field has seriously alienated the middle. Romney might be more 'business-friendly'.
Newt has incredibly deep negatives due to big head and arrogance. (not a redundancy he does physically have a huge head out of proportion that is unpleasing on TV)
If Obama stays as smooth as he's been he's got a big chance but don't count McCain out...look how he came from very back in the field to knock out all the contenders in the primary. Even though I want the Democrats to win....I wouldn't bet on Obama except in a toss of the coin at this time...even if In-Trade gives Obama 61 over McCain's 38.
Posted by: datadave at June 18, 2008 6:36 PM
I think McCain has a terrific chance of winning - I believe the Maverick thing still works and Obama will look too risky.
I think the strategery is to get him in and then he gets sick or something. I am very interested in who they pick for VP - because I believe the goal is for that person to be Prez.
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